Articles | Volume 1, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/eo-1-77-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/eo-1-77-2026
Research article
 | 
07 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 07 Sep 2026

Connecting earth observation anomalies to farmer surveys for monitoring impacts of agricultural drought on rainfed rice yields in Nigeria

Nick Gutkin, Chiamaka I. Ehiemere, Koen De Vos, Nnamdi Ehiemere, Jeroen Degerickx, Sarah Gebruers, Uchechukwu Nwafor, and Anne Gobin

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Cited articles

Adedeji, O., Olusola, A., James, G., Shaba, H. A., Orimoloye, I. R., Singh, S. K., and Adelabu, S.: Early warning systems development for agricultural drought assessment in Nigeria, Environ. Monit. Assess., 192, 798, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-020-08730-3, 2020. 
Adefisan, E. A. and Abatan, A. A.: Agroclimatic Zonning of Nigeria Based on Rainfall Characteristics and Index of Drought Proneness, Journal of Environment and Earth Science, 5, 115, https://www.iiste.org/Journals/index.php/JEES/article/view/23310/24056 (last access: 30 April 2026), 2015. 
Adenle, A. A., Eckert, S., Adedeji, O. I., Ellison, D., and Speranza, C. I.: Human-induced land degradation dominance in the Nigerian Guinea Savannah between 2003 – 2018, Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment, 19, 100360, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rsase.2020.100360, 2020. 
Afiukwa, C. A. A., Faluyi, J. O., Atkinson, C. J., Ubi, B. E. U., Igwe, D. O., and Akinwale, R. O.: Screening of some rice varieties and landraces cultivated in Nigeria for drought tolerance based on phenotypic traits and their association with SSR polymorphisms, Afr. J. Agr. Res., 11, 2599–2615, https://doi.org/10.5897/AJAR2016.11239, 2016. 
Ajetomobi, J., Abiodun, A., and Hassan, R.: Impacts of climate change on rice agriculture in Nigeria, Tropical and Subtropical Agroecosystems, 14, 613–622, 2011. 
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Short summary
This study combines earth observation indicators and farmer survey data collected in four rice-growing states in Nigeria to assess drought impacts on rainfed rice yields. We use regression models to connect meteorological indices and earth observation indicator anomalies to identify drought moments over the years 2020–2024, demonstrating that indicator anomalies are correlated to rice yield changes, particularly when anomaly values are aggregated temporally over separate rice growth stages.
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